Home » At the beginning of 2024, China’s economy attracted the first black swan | China’s economy |

At the beginning of 2024, China’s economy attracted the first black swan | China’s economy |

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At the beginning of 2024, China’s economy attracted the first black swan | China’s economy |

Title: A-Shares Tumble for 4th Straight Day, Investor Confidence in China’s Economy Wanes

A-shares on the Shanghai and Shenzhen Stock Exchanges have experienced a significant and continuous decline in the first week of the new year. Foreign media outlets analyze that the lack of confidence among households and corporate investors in the Chinese government’s ability to stabilize the economy through policy measures has caused the prolonged decrease in stock prices.

The Shanghai Stock Exchange Index fell 0.85% to 2929.18 points, the Shenzhen Component Index dropped 1.07% to 9116.44 points, and the ChiNext Index plunged 1.45% to 1775.58 points on January 5. An article published by the financial media outlet “Gelonghui” highlighted the consecutive fall in A-shares, marking this as the first “black swan” of the year.

The decline in the stock market, particularly in the technology sector, has been unprecedented. Many institutional funds have initiated large-scale selling, leading to a sharp drop in various tracked fields such as Huawei, new energy vehicles, AI, and robotics. The article also attributes the market’s lack of confidence to the Chinese Communist Party’s policy of net selling of funds.

Analysts believe that the Chinese government’s potential policy actions to stabilize the housing market and inject momentum into the economy remain uncertain, which contributes to the investor pessimism. The restrictions proposed on online gaming and the ongoing intervention in the private sector have further eroded confidence among investors.

As the Chinese government is expected to roll out policies aimed at stabilizing growth, JP Morgan’s Asia-Pacific research team warned that the real estate market is unlikely to hit bottom this year. Additionally, concerns about job security, salary cuts, and pressure on workers in targeted industries are adding to the weak investor confidence.

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The report emphasizes that the prospects for China’s economy and stock market depend largely on policies and that policy paths are increasingly unpredictable and opaque. Investors who sought to capitalize on the Chinese stock market in recent years have faced challenges, and the lack of clarity in policy decisions has added to the volatility.

Despite the prevailing uncertainty, the “Voice of Hope” continues to strive towards broadcasting the truth to bring hope to China. As the stock market in China continues to face challenges, the uncertainty in policy decisions and the ongoing intervention in the private sector remain key factors contributing to the waning investor confidence.

Voice of Hope invites readers to join in their efforts to bring hope to China by continuing to broadcast the truth and maintaining transparency.

Editor in charge: Lin Li
This article or program was edited and produced by Voice of Hope. When reprinting, please indicate Voice of Hope and include the original title and link.

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