According to a French report, French President Macron is looking forward to Xi Jinping’s new commitment to reducing emissions at the upcoming climate conference in Glasgow, Scotland. He hopes that China will give the world a “decisive signal” on the issue of global climate change. Xi Jinping will not go and send The ministers who went to the meeting had no choice but to ask for instructions on everything, and there would be no substantive decisions. Some international media quoted observers suspecting that Xi Jinping’s absence from the climate summit would be regarded as the CCP’s leaders’ decision to flee because they could not face external pressure.
British Prime Minister Johnson issued a precautionary warning on Wednesday that the climate summit will be “very difficult” and may even be in danger of failure. One of the reasons is that 17 of the Group of 20 countries have previously submitted emission reduction plans, which are independent of the CCP and India. The two major carbon-emission countries are standing still.
Originally, the outside world expected Xi Jinping and Biden to have the opportunity to hold bilateral talks at the G20 summit, but Xi Jinping could not come.
Chen Jie, associate professor of politics and international relations at the University of Western Australia, told the BBC that “not going abroad for such a long time (or unable to go out) will in turn worsen China’s isolation.” Not going, reflects China’s inherent inadequacy in geopolitics and has no allies. Most of the frequent visits of US officials are to their hard-core allies or exchange visits.
Regarding Xi Jinping’s long absence from a visit, there are divergent opinions from various parties, and the most widely circulated one is due to epidemic prevention considerations. Fa Guang said that it has been less than 100 days since the Winter Olympics. The CCP, which once declared victory in the fight against the epidemic, has yet to fully control the CCP virus epidemic. Xi Jinping may be worried, but observers pointed out that the epidemic has not been “fully controlled”, that is, Isn’t it somewhat absurd that Beijing’s “clearance” policy is somewhat absurd. For the leaders of the G-20, which country has already “cleared” them, working, living, and fighting the epidemic. This is probably the case in Western countries. , Clearing zero has hurt China. Several cases have been found in Lanzhou, and the provincial capital of more than 4 million people has been closed in confusion. There is also another explanation that Xi Jinping does not go abroad, mainly to avoid the epidemic.
Chen Jie also said that the cause of the epidemic has become less and less established, because the leaders of major Western countries are visiting this year. The reason that Xi Jinping stayed away for such a long time was due to unpopular handling of several things, including widespread international accusations of the CCP for covering up the epidemic, Hong Kong’s repression, and human rights in Xinjiang.
According to public information, the last time Xi Jinping went abroad was for a state visit to Myanmar on January 17, 2020. Wuhan closed the city six days later. Since then, Xi Jinping has not taken a step abroad and has been using video to attend meetings.
Another analysis believes that Xi Jinping’s inability to leave the country is mainly due to the need for “Anni”. The epidemic is actually second. The most important thing is that the Sixth Plenary Session of the Communist Party of China will be held in November. This plenary session will do just one thing. , Adopted the “Resolution of the Central Committee of the Communist Party of China on Major Achievements and Historical Experience of the Party’s Centennial Struggle.”
Why is Xi Jinping eager to introduce such a historical resolution? The French Canton Fair quoted analysis and believed that because this resolution is “mainly self-affirmation”, Xi Jinping of the 20th National Congress must prepare for re-election and “must give a statement”. “Self-affirmation” means to promote Xi Jinping. High to the same level as Mao Zedong, truly affirmed Xi Jinping’s will as the will of the whole party, and “consolidated Xi Jinping’s core position and political authority”. With such affirmation, the “argument” will come naturally.
As for why Xi Jinping needs affirmation? Fa Guang said that Xi Jinping does not need to affirm his status, but to determine his future. Xi Jinping’s abolition of the presidency tenure system is tantamount to paving the way for his life-long rule, and it is tantamount to abandoning “the abolition of the tenure of the leader is the most important legacy of Deng Xiaoping”. The abolition of the CCP’s own family laws is suspected of turning the “party world” into “Xi Tianxia,” and there is an undercurrent within the party. Therefore, Xi Jinping may still be a little taboo, so he has to retreat and make everything foolproof. Therefore, now is a critical moment.
But some people have begun to worry about whether Xi Jinping will be like Khrushchev back then? In October 1964, Khrushchev, who ruled the Soviet Union, took a vacation on the shores of the Black Sea. In Moscow, there was Brezhnev who was “absolutely loyal” to him, including the KGB chief, who looked after the house. Unexpectedly, this looks The mediocre Brezhnev launched a coup, and Khrushchev suffered a lot of sins overnight and was “retired”.
There is also a saying that the CCP is fighting fiercely on the eve of the 20th National Congress of the Communist Party of China, and Xi Jinping cannot go abroad nor dare to go abroad.
A few days ago, the Standing Committee of the People’s Congress of the Communist Party of China met and Li Zhanshu, chairman of the National People’s Congress, suddenly raised five firm objections: resolutely oppose, boycott and prevent the so-called “constitutional government” in the West, multi-party elections, triadism, bicameralism, and judicial independence. Influence.
These five objections are not surprising. Surprisingly, Li Zhanshu, a figure in the Xi family’s army, served as chairman of the National People’s Congress for many years. It was not until the change of the top leadership that he suddenly and for the first time mentioned this term. There must be a mystery behind it.
The political commentator Chen Pokong wrote an article that ten years ago, and just before the change of office, Wu Bangguo, chairman of the Jiang Pai People’s Congress, suddenly raised the term “five no”, and Li Zhanshu’s “five firm opposition” was almost Wu Bangguo. A copy of the “five nos”; and their identities are also the same, they are all chairmen of the People’s Congress in charge of legislation; the timing of this statement is also the same, all on the eve of the change of the top leadership and before their respective resignations. These two people, one is a member of the Jiang faction and the other is an important role in the Xi family’s army, they have reached the same goal by different routes, reflecting the deep roots of conservative and ultra-left forces within the CCP.
It can be inferred that the backgrounds of Li Zhanshu and Wu Bangguo’s “Five Regrets” are also similar, that is, different voices have appeared in the party: some people in the party or political factions advocate the promotion of democracy and constitutional government, such as multi-party system, three Separation of powers, judicial independence, etc.
Wu Bangguo’s Five Nos was aimed at the then prime minister Wen Jiabao. At that time, during the second five-year term of the Hu and Wen era, Wen Jiabao began to talk about political reforms, and his remarks became bolder day by day. His statement was: “Political system reform. It is the guarantee of economic system reform. Without political system reform, economic system reform cannot be successful, and the results already achieved are in danger of being lost.” Wen Jiabao also said at the press conference: “Democracy, legal system, freedom, human rights, equality, fraternity, etc. Etc., this is not peculiar to capitalism. It is the result of civilization formed by the whole world in the long historical process, and it is also a value pursued by mankind.”
As for whom Li Zhanshu is targeting? Chen Pokong said that he was targeting the anti-Xi camp within the party, or figures such as Premier Li Keqiang and Chairman of the CPPCC Wang Yang, or Vice President Wang Qishan, or the Secretary of the Central Commission for Discipline Inspection Zhao Leji, and so on. This confirms that the two factions in the party, the Xi camp and the anti-Xi camp, are intertwined with fierce conceptual games, ideological conflicts, future and destiny controversies, that is, the line struggle.
At the time when the CCP’s internal fighting is increasingly fierce, it is not difficult to imagine why Xi Jinping did not go abroad.
.