[Epoch Times November 10, 2021]Hello everyone, and welcome everyone to pay attention to “News Highlights”. I am Li Muyang. Today is November 9th (Tuesday) Eastern Time, and November 10th (Wednesday) Asia Time.
Today’s focus: “June 4th” will be re-qualified? Xi formulate a new “successor system”? Hu Jintao “Trusts the lonely” or enters the ordinary; his heart is serious and painful, will Xi move on to the army? U.S. congressmen again visited Taiwan by military plane, but Beijing was unwilling to start a war; both the U.S. and China and Taiwan made misjudgments, and the three types of people were willing to go to war.
60 seconds news
The US industrial giant General Electric announced on the 9th that due to the poor performance of its stocks for many years, the company decided to split into three companies, focusing on aviation, healthcare and energy respectively.
A fire broke out in a children’s hospital in the central Indian city of Bhopal on the evening of the 8th, resulting in the unfortunate death of 4 babies in the hospital and the remaining 36 babies have been rescued. Local officials speculated that the cause of the fire might be a short circuit.
British construction contractor George Thorne unearthed the 1885 Victorian train ticket ledger on the ceiling of the old railway station in Cambridgeshire. The account book is dated April 1885 and contains handwritten entries of passenger luggage and parcels sent from the station. This station opened for the first time at the end of 1847 and was called “March Station”.
At noon on the 8th, Xiao Shujun and his wife, a human rights activist in Shuangyashan City, Heilongjiang Province, and Yin Dengzhen, a petitioner from Shiyan City, Hubei Province, were forcibly kidnapped by plainclothes police and petitioners in front of the Supreme Court of the Communist Party of China. In the process, their mobile phones were robbed and broken, and Yin Dengzhen’s arm was sprained. Subsequently, they were forcibly repatriated.
As of 2 p.m. Eastern time on November 9th, the number of newly diagnosed CCP viruses (Wuhan virus, COVID-19) worldwide was 463,562, and the total number of confirmed cases reached 251,062,757; 6,529 people died in a single day. The cumulative total number of deaths is 5.071 million.
Let’s enter today’s topic.
On the second day of the Sixth Plenary Session of the Communist Party of China, multiple news came out. One is about the characterization of “June 4th” and the other is that Xi Jinping will determine a new successor system. In addition, there may be changes in the high-level military of the Chinese Communist Party. There are signs that Xi Jinping is still worried about the high-level military.
The U.S. Senate and House of Representatives arrived on a military plane and visited Taiwan. In addition to shouting a few hard words, the CCP re-drawn a “red line”, which dissipated the “Taiwan Clouds” that the CCP had recently clamored for. In fact, Beijing does not want to start the war lightly. There are only three types of ethnic groups who want war in the Taiwan Strait.
Is “June 4th” a “counter-revolutionary riot”?Xi’s authorities will give certainty
The Sixth Plenary Session of the Communist Party of China entered its second day, and nearly 400 top officials were still closed at the Jingxi Hotel to discuss matters. Some media said today (9th) that the CCP’s forthcoming third historical resolution may characterize the democratic movement 30 years ago and characterize June Fourth as a “counter-revolutionary riot”.
Hong Kong’s “Sing Tao Daily” analyzed today’s report that, given that on July 1 this year, the CCP officially launched the “A Brief History of the Communist Party of China”, which maintained its characterization of the “counter-revolutionary riots” that took place in Tiananmen 30 years ago. Because the “Sing Tao Daily” believes that the historical resolution passed by the Sixth Plenary Session of the Central Committee this time may maintain the character of “counter-revolutionary riots” on the “June 4th” incident.
In the brief history of the Chinese Communist Party, in 1989, the crowds of students on Tiananmen Square became “a very small number of anti-Communist and anti-socialist elements”, demonizing a student democracy movement into “an activity to incite anti-Communist and anti-socialist systems.” It claimed that “to use the masses to mourn the death of Hu Yaobang”, “inciting people who do not know the truth to occupy Tiananmen Square”, and “creating counter-revolutionary riots.”
Regarding the part of former CCP General Secretary Zhao Ziyang who refused to shoot at the people and was later deposed under house arrest, the brief history of the CCP stated that Zhao Ziyang had committed “serious mistakes” and “supported unrest and split the party.” As for the CCP’s army and tanks entering Beijing, real guns and live ammunition killing students and citizens, the CCP’s brief history stated that with the support of Deng Xiaoping and other “older generations of revolutionaries”, it “quelled the counter-revolutionary riots in one fell swoop.”
“Counter-revolutionary riots” is a very serious characterization, and the CCP rarely used this term in the past. At the time of “June 4th”, the CCP used to characterize “political turmoil” and “counter-revolutionary riots.” But for a long time after that, until Xi Jinping came to power, the CCP used “political storms” instead of “counter-revolutionary riots.”
Since Xi Jinping came to power, especially after his power was stabilized at the 19th National Congress of the Communist Party of China, the attitude of the Chinese Communist Party has gradually become tough. The Central News Agency pointed out that the Beijing authorities began to use “June 4th” alternately in the memorial of the 40 years of reform and opening up in 2018, the commemoration of Li Peng who is known as the butcher of the “June 4th” by 2020, and the centenary of the CCP this year. “Political turmoil,” “turmoil,” and “counter-revolutionary riots.”
Obviously, the Xi Jinping administration’s perception of the “June 4th” democratic movement may have undergone major changes. We also mentioned yesterday (8th) that Xi Jinping once said that the two 30 years of non-negation will not deny each other. Non-negation means acquiescence, approval, or even affirmation.
However, it is only an analysis by the pro-communist media. What is going on depends on the announcement issued by the CCP after the meeting.
Successors are not the only ones who are learning to formulate a new “successor system”?
Today (9th) news broke that Xi Jinping is formulating a new “successor system.”
An anonymous CCP member told The Straits Times that Xi Jinping will determine a new successor system at this plenary session. The anonymous person said that for Xi Jinping, the old succession system is unreasonable. Xi Jinping is unwilling to let Jiang Zemin, who is 95 years old, or Hu Jintao, who will be 78 years old, decide his successor.
According to sources, the current leaders of the Chinese Communist Party have secretly finalized a political succession framework, which will be determined before the 20th National Congress of the Communist Party of China next year. However, even if the succession framework is determined, it may not be announced at that time.
The anonymous person also said that according to Xi Jinping’s preliminary framework, he may not only appoint one heir. Instead, at the 20th National Congress of next year, promote more than one next-generation leadership to the Standing Committee, and then test their loyalty and political sensitivity.
The outside world could not confirm this news. Especially during the Sixth Plenary Session of the Communist Party of China, it cannot be ruled out that there is a possibility that related parties will “release the wind.” But from the way Xi Jinping took office, he does not want to be affected by his predecessor on certain major issues, especially personnel arrangements.
Since Xi Jinping took office, he has launched the “Anti-Corruption and Fighting Tiger” campaign. Judging from the factional color of the officials who fell horses, most of them are related to Jiang Zemin’s faction. In other words, the main goal of Xi Jinping’s anti-corruption campaign is Jiang Zemin’s faction.
To get rid of these Jiang faction officials is to reduce their influence on their own governance and prevent Jiang Zemin from having any effect on him.
As for Hu Jintao, there is basically no threat to Xi Jinping. Because Hu Jintao retired naked when he was handing over, he gave all power to Xi Jinping.
“The Straits Times” quoted the views of insiders in the Chinese Communist Party that Xi Jinping should accept people of his age to remain on the Standing Committee while he is re-elected. Because this can divert criticisms of Xi Jinping’s violation of the “seven ups and eight downs” principle of staying in office.
“Seven ups and eight downs” is an unwritten rule within the CCP, which refers to high-level officials aged 67 and below who are eligible to join the Politburo or the Standing Committee, but must retire at the age of 68. This was formulated by Jiang Zemin in order to preserve power, especially against his opponent, Li Ruihuan, chairman of the National Committee of the Chinese People’s Political Consultative Conference.
The source also said that after Xi Jinping overthrew Deng Xiaoping’s rules on term restrictions and collective leadership, he might deviate from Deng Xiaoping on another major issue, which is to restore and serve as the general secretary of the Communist Party of China. Because the party general secretary has no term limit, Xi Jinping can choose a successor at his own pace.
Xi Jinping likes 5 people? Hu Jintao “too gu” into the line of sight?
“The Straits Times” specifically named 5 candidates, who may be selected by Xi Jinping. They are Chen Miner, Secretary of the Chongqing Municipal Party Committee, Ding Xuexiang, Director of the Central Office, Hu Chunhua, Vice Premier of the Communist Party of China, Li Qiang, Secretary of the Shanghai Municipal Party Committee, and Li Xi, Secretary of the Guangdong Provincial Party Committee.
Chen Miner is an alternate member of the 17th Central Committee of the Communist Party of China, a member of the 18th Central Committee, and a member of the 19th Politburo. He currently governs Chongqing. Chen Miner took control of Chongqing and was appointed by Xi Jinping to replace Sun Zhengcai in order to clean up the remaining forces of Bo Xilai and Sun Zhengcai in Chongqing. This is said to be a crucial step in Xi Jinping’s grand game.
Ding Xuexiang is Xi Jinping’s confidant. After Chen Liangyu, secretary of the Shanghai Municipal Party Committee, fell, Xi Jinping took charge of Shanghai. So Ding Xuexiang became Xi Jinping’s great secret, and assisted Xi Jinping to wipe out Chen Liangyu’s influence in the personnel layout, stabilize the situation in Shanghai, and thus won the trust of Xi Jinping. (News highlights)
Li Qiang is also the old ministry of Xi Jinping in Zhejiang. As early as 2004, Xi Jinping, who was in charge of Zhejiang, promoted Li Qiang to secretary-general of the Zhejiang Provincial Party Committee and became Xi Jinping’s Secretary at the time. Later, Li Qiang became the secretary of the Shanghai Municipal Party Committee, which was said to be the decision made by Xi Jinping himself.
Li Xi and Xi Jinping had an earlier friendship. As early as 2007, Xi Jinping, who was in charge of Shanghai, met with a delegation led by Li Xi, then member of the Standing Committee of the Shaanxi Provincial Party Committee and Secretary of the Yan’an Municipal Party Committee. Since then, Li Xi has won the trust of Xi Jinping.
Later, Xi Jinping took the lead and transferred Li Xi, then deputy secretary of the Shanghai Municipal Party Committee, to Liaoning, replacing Chen Zhenggao, then governor of Liaoning. Then Li Xi lived up to what Xi Jinping had entrusted, step by step to take back Liaoning, which the Jiang faction had long controlled.
We talked about it yesterday (8th) that Xi Jinping may reduce the number of members of the Politburo Standing Committee in order to better govern. There are currently seven members of the Politburo Standing Committee. If the number continues to be reduced, it may be five, including Xi Jinping, or even three. How would Xi Jinping choose?
Among these five people, the first four can be regarded as Xi Jinping’s confidants or direct descendants. Only Hu Chunhua is a member of the regiment and is said to be the next-generation successor designated by Hu Jintao.
There is a story of Hu Jintao “Tuogu” circulating in the officialdom of the Chinese Communist Party. According to “Inside” magazine, Hu Jintao explained to Xi before the handover, “You can have your own arrangements and layout for personnel issues, but Hu Chunhua is really an excellent talent who can carry heavy responsibilities. You must make proper arrangements for reuse.”
Regardless of whether it is the 5th or the 3rd committee, Xi Jinping is all about the concentration of power and better governance. As the saying goes, “the greatest hidden danger of chaos lies in the princes,” so Xi Jinping may further monopolize the power to prevent the dispersion of power and the princes’ resistance to courtesy and cause chaos in the world.
Will you take action on the army if you have a big worry?
Yesterday (8th), the Chinese Communist Party’s military mouthpiece “Liberation Army Daily” published a commentator’s article, “Strong Measures to Manage “Key Minorities”.” This article was then reposted by the CCP’s party magazine Qiushi. This shows how much the CCP authorities attach importance to this article.
The article stated that the so-called chief leaders in the military are the key to the “critical minority”, and “we must grasp it tightly and tightly, and control it tightly and tightly.” It is necessary to “make the supervision of the main leaders the top priority” and carry out “daily supervision, inspections and inspections” of the “main leaders”.
The article also emphasizes that to manage the “critical minority” well, we must strengthen normalized supervision. The main leaders must consciously place themselves under supervision. The Commission for Discipline Inspection should give full play to the role of supervision and so on.
This review article echoes the “Opinions” of the CCP’s Military Commission not long ago, “Opinions on Strengthening the Supervision of the Main Leaders and Party Committees”, and it also requires strict control over the military’s top ranks.
It is worth noting that on the day before the military newspaper issued a comment (7th), the Chinese Communist Party’s official media “People’s Daily” also published a commentator’s article on the front page, “Promoting the People’s Army to Realize an Overall Revolutionary Remodeling.”
The article quoted a passage from Xi Jinping and conducted three “time questions” on the CCP army, claiming that the CCP army must answer. Xi Jinping’s question is, when the CCP needs it, “Can the army always adhere to the party’s absolute leadership, can it be able to pull up and win the war, and can commanders at all levels lead troops to fight and direct wars?”
The CCP’s repeated voices against the military are quite noteworthy. Is there something wrong with the top level of the CCP army?
The CCP has always emphasized that “government comes from the barrel of the gun.” Therefore, the CCP has always attached great importance to the control of the military. In fact, I asked the army whether it can uphold the party’s absolute leadership. To put it bluntly, Xi Jinping is actually asking the army whether he always listens to his own words.
We all know that the Chinese Communist Party shares a feature of “calling what is lacking”. The more ferocious it is, that is its weakest point. When Xi Jinping asked the army if it listened to his own words, it actually reflected that he had no confidence in the army.
In other words, even though Xi Jinping is the chairman of the CCP’s Military Commission, he has no confidence in whether he can speak his words with absolute authority. Because he wasn’t sure whether the top military leaders would listen to him.
If the high-level military does not listen to him, or even make a reversal, it will be extremely dangerous for Xi Jinping. In other words, the high-level military is likely to be Xi Jinping’s confidant.
Everyone knows that there have been military coups in many countries in the world recently. It was the military that used the army and guns to control the government officials, and then the politics became successful. For Xi Jinping, these things that are happening right now are a heavy hammer to wake him up at all times.
There is a saying among the Chinese that it is not doubtful about employing people, but it is not necessary for suspects. Since he doubts the loyalty of the military’s top ranks, Xi Jinping is likely to get rid of his confidantes and replace the top military ranks he does not trust. Therefore, it seems that the CCP’s official media and military media have repeatedly called for the supervision of the military’s high-level officials.
U.S. congressmen’s “low-key” visit to Taichung draws a new red line
At around 6pm local time today (9th), a US Navy C-40A administrative plane landed at Songshan Air Force Base in Taiwan. Taiwan’s “Apple Daily” learned that this administrative plane is a special plane that the U.S. Congress has applied for, and it carries members of the U.S. Senate and House of Representatives who are visiting Taiwan.
The Ministry of Foreign Affairs of the Republic of China stated in a low profile that the relevant itineraries were all arranged by the American Association in Taiwan, and the Taiwan Ministry of Foreign Affairs provided administrative assistance for the US Congress delegation. Foreign Ministry spokesperson Ou Jiang’an and Presidential Office spokesperson Zhang Dunhan did not specify who the US congressmen are visiting Taiwan this time, because the reason is to “respect the wishes of the guests.” However, they all said that relevant information will be explained by the Ministry of Foreign Affairs in due course.
Although the U.S. Senate and House of Representatives are relatively low-key, and Taiwan is also low-key, this kind of serious breakthrough of the CCP’s bottom line and red line is too sensitive. So no matter how low-key it is, the outside world will understand some things, not to mention the CCP, which is always watching Taiwan.
Soon afterwards, CCTV quoted the spokesperson of the Ministry of National Defense Tan Kefei as “warning the US”, stopping provocations and stopping “destructive actions leading to the escalation of tension in the Taiwan Strait”, claiming that the US actions “seriously threatened peace and stability in the Taiwan Strait.” At the same time, they “warned” the DPP authorities, claiming that “do not misjudge the situation and take risks, otherwise it will only bring Taiwan into serious disaster” and so on.
CCTV also stated on Weibo that “China must be unified, and it must be unified.” The CCP army will “maintain a high level of alert and take all necessary measures” to smash any interference and “splitting” attempts by external forces, and so on.
Looking at the statements of the Chinese Communist Party’s Ministry of National Defense and CCTV, they are just bluffing, and they dare not say that they will immediately start a war with Taiwan, and so on. They all leave a lot of room for maneuver.
Hu Xijin’s statement is even more interesting. He said on Weibo, “It seems that this was a sudden and sneaky visit. It did not announce in advance. Now everyone has arrived in Taiwan, and who they are, but how many people are not talking about it.”
Hu Xijin also said, “It’s another US Navy administrative plane, which has wiped the side of the’military plane’.” “Panman” also predicted, “The U.S. and Taiwan seem to be going to fight this kind of’side ball’ in the future. They know that the U.S. military The entry of troops and combat equipment into Taiwan is a red line, so a small number of soldiers were sent to Taiwan to train the Taiwan military, and administrative planes and transport planes were used to send congressmen and vaccines to Taiwan.
Hu Xijin also urged mainland netizens to “please rest assured, they will never break the red line drawn by the mainland directly,” and “only dare to do things in a small way” and so on.
Obviously, the “red line” that the CCP will never allow to trample on has gone back again. Netizens mocked, “Lao Hu’s latest red line is finally drawn.” A person called “Da Lang, you should take medicine 8” wrote, “Take you, it’s so special, and I’m still bragging.”
Another netizen ridiculed Hu Xijin, “Lao Hu said in August: As long as there is a US military in Taiwan, it will immediately reunify. Now there are already US special forces in Taiwan. Lao Hu just ridiculed: this point is that people don’t need military force. Unification. Lao Hu deserves to be a network strategist.”
Netizens have become accustomed to the various tricks of the CCP, so they are now immune. Knowing that all the CCP has done is just bluffing, it is actually afraid to go to war with Taiwan.
Beijing is unwilling to start war and China is not ready
Today (9th), international scholar Mu Chunshan (transliteration) published a comment in the US “Diplomat” magazine and pointed out that the Taiwan Strait “maintains the status quo” is in the best interests of the United States, China and Taiwan. Because none of these three parties really want to fight, and only three ethnic groups want to fight.
Mu Chunshan has always believed that the Taiwan Strait has a basic strategic balance. As long as all parties maintain rationality, this balance will not be easily broken. He recently re-examined the current situation in the Taiwan Strait and still believes that neither the Beijing authorities, the Biden government nor the DPP government really wants a war in the Taiwan Strait. No one is willing to fight at all costs at this time.
The article stated that although the United States has continuously emphasized its ability to defend Taiwan and protect the American people, the embarrassing ending in Afghanistan prevents the United States from falling into the flames of war again. And the Biden administration is unwilling to risk the continued deterioration of US-China relations. Obviously, only by maintaining the strategic balance of the Taiwan Strait can the interests of the United States be maximized.
The Taiwan side does not want to go to war, and hopes to maintain the status quo. Therefore, the Taiwan side has always emphasized that “never fire the first shot.” Although the Taiwan authorities have repeatedly emphasized that the CCP cannot underestimate the national army’s ability and determination to defend Taiwan, this is to awaken the Beijing authorities that if they attack Taiwan hard, they will be resolutely counterattacked by the national army.
As for the CCP, although foreign experts infer that the CCP intends to use force against Taiwan, they have also proposed two explanations. One is that Xi Jinping hopes to resolve the Taiwan issue during his tenure in order to establish a personal historical legacy; the other is that senior US officials predict that there may be war in the Taiwan Strait within 6-8 years. But Mu Chunshan believes that China is actually unwilling to start the war lightly because China is not ready yet.
The article stated that not only Xi Jinping but also Mao Zedong, Deng Xiaoping and other CCP leaders hope to unify Taiwan during their tenure. But China’s reunification “does not necessarily rely on war methods”. Otherwise, why has the CCP delayed for more than 70 years without resorting to force?
From a practical point of view, China’s current situation does not allow for armed infringement of Taiwan, not only because the United States will intervene in the defense of Taiwan, but also because “the Chinese people and society are not yet ready.”
Mu Chunshan believes that the CCP has been preparing for the “worst case”, but it is obviously not ready yet. The Ministry of Commerce of the Communist Party of China recently called on the people to store food, which instead made the people mistakenly believe that war is about to begin. This shows that the psychology of Chinese society is extremely fragile, and the people’s understanding of war is not mature.
U.S., China and Taiwan both misjudged only three types of people willing to go to war
According to Mu Chunshan’s analysis, those who really want war in the Taiwan Strait are actually three types of ethnic groups.
The first is those in the United States, Europe, Japan, and Southeast Asian countries who expressed the most vehement to help Taiwan. Because once the CCP fires its first shot, Western sanctions will inevitably follow.
If the CCP is sanctioned by the United States and other Western countries, it means that China is more isolated in the international community. In response, China’s economic development has become more severely lagging behind. It is basically impossible for the CCP to “surpass Europe and catch up with the United States” in the military, science and technology, and economic fields.
Moreover, under the sanctions of Western countries, it may also lead to drastic changes within the CCP and the collapse of the CCP regime. This is precisely the CCP’s determination that the actions of the United States and Western troops in the South China Sea, the East China Sea and other waters are “provocations.”
The second ethnic group are those who want Taiwan’s independence to force the CCP to use force. These people believe that Taiwan has the help of the United States, although it will be affected by the war, but in the long run, the advantages outweigh the disadvantages.
They know that it will not be a question of whether the CCP will fight or not, but if the CCP does not fight, it will lose more hearts and minds. In other words, no matter how the CCP handles it, it is very uncomfortable and will cause the CCP to lose a lot of popular support.
The third type of ethnic group is the “patriotic fifty cents” and “little pink” who are dominated by hatred in mainland China. In their minds, even if a war will bring huge losses, as long as Taiwan is taken, all problems can be easily solved.
These people believe that Western countries have set obstacles to the development of the CCP, but after reunification, everything will disappear. So these people continue to advocate the benefits of war, and many Chinese people are also affected by these people.
Mu Chunshan believes that these three types of ethnic groups are “very happy to see war,” but the international community and the media should not be misled by them. Because war in the Taiwan Strait will affect the lives of billions of people, “the imagination of war coming must be avoided.”
In Mu Chunshan’s view, the CCP does not want to easily attack Taiwan by force, but must respond to the increased interaction between Taiwan and Western countries. Unfortunately, all three parties have suffered “misjudgments” as a result, leading to a “vicious circle.” He called on all authorities to calm down and cool down the tension.
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